Can Gold Miners Stage a Comeback?
Gold’s mostly sideways trend persisted through the third quarter of 2023, with investors mulling over allocations given higher interest rates and a generally muted outlook for the global economy. Meanwhile, gold miners – now coming off their worst quarter in over a year – seek to prove to investors their ability to generate long-term value through maintenance of their healthy margins and free cash flow generation.
- Potential gold price scenarios for the remainder of 2023
- General health of the gold mining industry
- Companies we are excited about today
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October 11, 2023
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DISCLOSURES
This is not an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation to buy or sell any of the securities, financial instruments or digital assets mentioned herein. The information presented does not involve the rendering of personalized investment, financial, legal, tax advice, or any call to action. Certain statements contained herein may constitute projections, forecasts and other forward-looking statements, which do not reflect actual results, are for illustrative purposes only, are valid as of the date of this communication, and are subject to change without notice. Actual future performance of any assets or industries mentioned are unknown. Information provided by third party sources are believed to be reliable and have not been independently verified for accuracy or completeness and cannot be guaranteed. VanEck does not guarantee the accuracy of third party data. The information herein represents the opinion of the author(s), but not necessarily those of VanEck or its other employees.
Gold investments are subject to the risks associated with concentrating its assets in the gold industry, which can be significantly affected by international economic, monetary and political developments. Investments in gold may decline in value due to developments specific to the gold industry. Foreign gold security investments involve risks related to adverse political and economic developments unique to a country or a region, currency fluctuations or controls, and the possibility of arbitrary action by foreign governments, or political, economic or social instability. Gold investments are subject to risks associated with investments in U.S. and non-U.S. issuers, commodities and commodity-linked derivatives, commodities and commodity-linked derivatives tax, gold-mining industry, derivatives, emerging market securities, foreign currency transactions, foreign securities, other investment companies, management, market, non-diversification, operational, regulatory, small- and medium-capitalization companies and subsidiary risks.
About VanEck International Investors Gold Fund: You can lose money by investing in the Fund. Any investment in the Fund should be part of an overall investment program, not a complete program. The Fund is subject to risks which may include, but are not limited to, risks associated with active management, commodities and commodity-linked derivatives, derivatives, direct investments, emerging market issuers, ESG investing strategy, foreign currency, foreign securities, gold and silver mining companies, market, non-diversified, operational, regulatory, investing in other funds, small- and medium-capitalization companies, special risk considerations of investing in Australian and Canadian issuers, and subsidiary investment risk, all of which may adversely affect the Fund. Emerging market issuers and foreign securities may be subject to securities markets, political and economic, investment and repatriation restrictions, different rules and regulations, less publicly available financial information, foreign currency and exchange rates, operational and settlement, and corporate and securities laws risks. Small- and medium-capitalization companies may be subject to elevated risks. Derivatives may involve certain costs and risks such as liquidity, interest rate, and the risk that a position could not be closed when most advantageous. Investments in the gold industry can be significantly affected by international economic, monetary and political developments. The Fund’s overall portfolio may decline in value due to developments specific to the gold industry.
About VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX®) and VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ®): An investment in the Funds may be subject to risks which include, among others, investing in gold and silver mining companies, basic materials sector, investing in Australian and Canadian issuers, foreign securities, emerging market issuers, foreign currency, depositary receipts, micro-, small- and medium-capitalization companies, equity securities, market, operational, index tracking, authorized participant concentration, no guarantee of active trading market, trading issues, passive management risk, fund shares trading, premium/discount risk and liquidity of fund shares, non-diversified, concentration and tax reform legislation risks, all of which may adversely affect the Funds. Foreign investments are subject to risks, which include changes in economic and political conditions, foreign currency fluctuations, changes in foreign regulations, and changes in currency exchange rates which may negatively impact the Funds’ return. Micro-, small- and medium-capitalization companies may be subject to elevated risks. The Funds’ assets may be concentrated in a particular sector and may be subject to more risk than investments in a diverse group of sectors.
Average Annual Total Returns* (%) | ||||||||
Month End as of 09/30/2023 | ||||||||
1 MO | 3 MO | YTD | 1 Year | 3 Year | 5 Year | 10 Year | LIFE (02/10/56) |
|
VanEck International Investors Gold Fund: Class A | ||||||||
At Net Asset Value | -9.89 | -11.15 | -6.75 | 10.83 | -12.97 | 7.71 | 1.52 | -- |
At Maximum 5.75% Sales Charge | -15.07 | -16.26 | -12.11 | 4.46 | -14.68 | 6.44 | 0.92 | -- |
NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index | -8.13 | -9.94 | -5.69 | 14.56 | -10.27 | 9.24 | 1.93 | -- |
*Returns less than one year are not annualized.
The table presents past performance which is no guarantee of future results and which may be lower or higher than current performance. Returns reflect temporary contractual fee waivers and/or expense reimbursements. Had the Fund incurred all expenses and fees, investment returns would have been reduced. Expenses: Class A: Gross1.42% and Net 1.42%. Expenses are capped contractually through 05/01/24 at 1.45% for Class A. Investment returns and Fund share values will fluctuate so that investors' shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Fund returns assume that dividends and capital gains distributions have been reinvested in the Fund at NAV.
Average Annual Total Returns* (%) | ||||||||
Month End as of 09/30/2023 | ||||||||
1 MO | 3 MO | YTD | 1 Year | 3 Year | 5 Year | 10 Year | LIFE (05/16/06) |
|
GDX (NAV) | -8.14 | -10.35 | -6.13 | 13.89 | -10.63 | 8.86 | 1.56 | -1.50 |
GDX (Share Price) | -8.03 | -10.63 | -6.11 | 13.41 | -10.61 | 8.84 | 1.59 | -1.50 |
GDMNTR (Index) | -8.13 | -9.94 | -5.69 | 14.56 | -10.27 | 9.24 | 1.93 | -1.07 |
Performance Differential (NAV - Index) | -0.01 | -0.41 | -0.44 | -0.67 | -0.36 | -0.38 | -0.37 | -0.43 |
*Returns less than one year are not annualized.
The performance data quoted represents past performance. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Investment return and principal value of an investment will fluctuate so that an investor's shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Performance may be lower or higher than performance data quoted. Please call 800.826.2333 or visit vaneck.com for performance current to the most recent month ended.
Average Annual Total Returns* (%) | ||||||||
Month End as of 09/30/2023 | ||||||||
1 MO | 3 MO | YTD | 1 Year | 3 Year | 5 Year | 10 Year | LIFE (11/10/09) |
|
GDXJ (NAV) | -10.51 | -9.15 | -9.43 | 10.72 | -15.54 | 4.34 | -1.29 | -5.83 |
GDXJ (Share Price) | -10.45 | -9.62 | -9.59 | 9.96 | -15.41 | 4.31 | -1.20 | -5.84 |
MVGDXJTR (Index) | -10.34 | -8.59 | -8.70 | 11.64 | -14.94 | 4.95 | -0.90 | -5.49 |
Performance Differential (NAV - Index) | -0.17 | -0.56 | -0.73 | -0.92 | -0.60 | -0.61 | -0.39 | -0.34 |
*Returns less than one year are not annualized.
The performance data quoted represents past performance. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Investment return and principal value of an investment will fluctuate so that an investor's shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Performance may be lower or higher than performance data quoted. Please call 800.826.2333 or visit vaneck.com for performance current to the most recent month ended.
Gross Expense Ratios:
International Investors Gold Fund - Class A: 1.42%
VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX): 0.51%
VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ): 0.52%
Newmont Corp is 9.85% of net assets of the VanEck Gold Miners ETF as of 10/12/2023.
Newcrest Mining Ltd is 5.09% of net assets of the VanEck Gold Miners ETF as of 10/12/2023.
Pan American Silver Corp is 2.44% of net assets of the VanEck Gold Miners ETF and 6.64% of the VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF as of 10/12/2023.
Emerald Resources Nl is 0.45% of net assets of the VanEck Gold Miners ETF as of 10/12/2023.
No part of this material may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of VanEck.
Investing involves substantial risk and high volatility, including possible loss of principal. An investor should consider the investment objective, risks, charges and expenses of a Fund carefully before investing. To obtain a prospectus and summary prospectus, which contain this and other information, call 800.826.2333 or visit vaneck.com/etf. Please read the prospectus and summary prospectus carefully before investing.
© Van Eck Securities Corporation, Distributor, a wholly owned subsidiary of Van Eck Associates Corporation.
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DISCLOSURES
This is not an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation to buy or sell any of the securities, financial instruments or digital assets mentioned herein. The information presented does not involve the rendering of personalized investment, financial, legal, tax advice, or any call to action. Certain statements contained herein may constitute projections, forecasts and other forward-looking statements, which do not reflect actual results, are for illustrative purposes only, are valid as of the date of this communication, and are subject to change without notice. Actual future performance of any assets or industries mentioned are unknown. Information provided by third party sources are believed to be reliable and have not been independently verified for accuracy or completeness and cannot be guaranteed. VanEck does not guarantee the accuracy of third party data. The information herein represents the opinion of the author(s), but not necessarily those of VanEck or its other employees.
Gold investments are subject to the risks associated with concentrating its assets in the gold industry, which can be significantly affected by international economic, monetary and political developments. Investments in gold may decline in value due to developments specific to the gold industry. Foreign gold security investments involve risks related to adverse political and economic developments unique to a country or a region, currency fluctuations or controls, and the possibility of arbitrary action by foreign governments, or political, economic or social instability. Gold investments are subject to risks associated with investments in U.S. and non-U.S. issuers, commodities and commodity-linked derivatives, commodities and commodity-linked derivatives tax, gold-mining industry, derivatives, emerging market securities, foreign currency transactions, foreign securities, other investment companies, management, market, non-diversification, operational, regulatory, small- and medium-capitalization companies and subsidiary risks.
About VanEck International Investors Gold Fund: You can lose money by investing in the Fund. Any investment in the Fund should be part of an overall investment program, not a complete program. The Fund is subject to risks which may include, but are not limited to, risks associated with active management, commodities and commodity-linked derivatives, derivatives, direct investments, emerging market issuers, ESG investing strategy, foreign currency, foreign securities, gold and silver mining companies, market, non-diversified, operational, regulatory, investing in other funds, small- and medium-capitalization companies, special risk considerations of investing in Australian and Canadian issuers, and subsidiary investment risk, all of which may adversely affect the Fund. Emerging market issuers and foreign securities may be subject to securities markets, political and economic, investment and repatriation restrictions, different rules and regulations, less publicly available financial information, foreign currency and exchange rates, operational and settlement, and corporate and securities laws risks. Small- and medium-capitalization companies may be subject to elevated risks. Derivatives may involve certain costs and risks such as liquidity, interest rate, and the risk that a position could not be closed when most advantageous. Investments in the gold industry can be significantly affected by international economic, monetary and political developments. The Fund’s overall portfolio may decline in value due to developments specific to the gold industry.
About VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX®) and VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ®): An investment in the Funds may be subject to risks which include, among others, investing in gold and silver mining companies, basic materials sector, investing in Australian and Canadian issuers, foreign securities, emerging market issuers, foreign currency, depositary receipts, micro-, small- and medium-capitalization companies, equity securities, market, operational, index tracking, authorized participant concentration, no guarantee of active trading market, trading issues, passive management risk, fund shares trading, premium/discount risk and liquidity of fund shares, non-diversified, concentration and tax reform legislation risks, all of which may adversely affect the Funds. Foreign investments are subject to risks, which include changes in economic and political conditions, foreign currency fluctuations, changes in foreign regulations, and changes in currency exchange rates which may negatively impact the Funds’ return. Micro-, small- and medium-capitalization companies may be subject to elevated risks. The Funds’ assets may be concentrated in a particular sector and may be subject to more risk than investments in a diverse group of sectors.
Average Annual Total Returns* (%) | ||||||||
Month End as of 09/30/2023 | ||||||||
1 MO | 3 MO | YTD | 1 Year | 3 Year | 5 Year | 10 Year | LIFE (02/10/56) |
|
VanEck International Investors Gold Fund: Class A | ||||||||
At Net Asset Value | -9.89 | -11.15 | -6.75 | 10.83 | -12.97 | 7.71 | 1.52 | -- |
At Maximum 5.75% Sales Charge | -15.07 | -16.26 | -12.11 | 4.46 | -14.68 | 6.44 | 0.92 | -- |
NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index | -8.13 | -9.94 | -5.69 | 14.56 | -10.27 | 9.24 | 1.93 | -- |
*Returns less than one year are not annualized.
The table presents past performance which is no guarantee of future results and which may be lower or higher than current performance. Returns reflect temporary contractual fee waivers and/or expense reimbursements. Had the Fund incurred all expenses and fees, investment returns would have been reduced. Expenses: Class A: Gross1.42% and Net 1.42%. Expenses are capped contractually through 05/01/24 at 1.45% for Class A. Investment returns and Fund share values will fluctuate so that investors' shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Fund returns assume that dividends and capital gains distributions have been reinvested in the Fund at NAV.
Average Annual Total Returns* (%) | ||||||||
Month End as of 09/30/2023 | ||||||||
1 MO | 3 MO | YTD | 1 Year | 3 Year | 5 Year | 10 Year | LIFE (05/16/06) |
|
GDX (NAV) | -8.14 | -10.35 | -6.13 | 13.89 | -10.63 | 8.86 | 1.56 | -1.50 |
GDX (Share Price) | -8.03 | -10.63 | -6.11 | 13.41 | -10.61 | 8.84 | 1.59 | -1.50 |
GDMNTR (Index) | -8.13 | -9.94 | -5.69 | 14.56 | -10.27 | 9.24 | 1.93 | -1.07 |
Performance Differential (NAV - Index) | -0.01 | -0.41 | -0.44 | -0.67 | -0.36 | -0.38 | -0.37 | -0.43 |
*Returns less than one year are not annualized.
The performance data quoted represents past performance. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Investment return and principal value of an investment will fluctuate so that an investor's shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Performance may be lower or higher than performance data quoted. Please call 800.826.2333 or visit vaneck.com for performance current to the most recent month ended.
Average Annual Total Returns* (%) | ||||||||
Month End as of 09/30/2023 | ||||||||
1 MO | 3 MO | YTD | 1 Year | 3 Year | 5 Year | 10 Year | LIFE (11/10/09) |
|
GDXJ (NAV) | -10.51 | -9.15 | -9.43 | 10.72 | -15.54 | 4.34 | -1.29 | -5.83 |
GDXJ (Share Price) | -10.45 | -9.62 | -9.59 | 9.96 | -15.41 | 4.31 | -1.20 | -5.84 |
MVGDXJTR (Index) | -10.34 | -8.59 | -8.70 | 11.64 | -14.94 | 4.95 | -0.90 | -5.49 |
Performance Differential (NAV - Index) | -0.17 | -0.56 | -0.73 | -0.92 | -0.60 | -0.61 | -0.39 | -0.34 |
*Returns less than one year are not annualized.
The performance data quoted represents past performance. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Investment return and principal value of an investment will fluctuate so that an investor's shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Performance may be lower or higher than performance data quoted. Please call 800.826.2333 or visit vaneck.com for performance current to the most recent month ended.
Gross Expense Ratios:
International Investors Gold Fund - Class A: 1.42%
VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX): 0.51%
VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ): 0.52%
Newmont Corp is 9.85% of net assets of the VanEck Gold Miners ETF as of 10/12/2023.
Newcrest Mining Ltd is 5.09% of net assets of the VanEck Gold Miners ETF as of 10/12/2023.
Pan American Silver Corp is 2.44% of net assets of the VanEck Gold Miners ETF and 6.64% of the VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF as of 10/12/2023.
Emerald Resources Nl is 0.45% of net assets of the VanEck Gold Miners ETF as of 10/12/2023.
No part of this material may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of VanEck.
Investing involves substantial risk and high volatility, including possible loss of principal. An investor should consider the investment objective, risks, charges and expenses of a Fund carefully before investing. To obtain a prospectus and summary prospectus, which contain this and other information, call 800.826.2333 or visit vaneck.com/etf. Please read the prospectus and summary prospectus carefully before investing.
© Van Eck Securities Corporation, Distributor, a wholly owned subsidiary of Van Eck Associates Corporation.