Valuations Steer Moat Index’s Contrarian Bias
June 26, 2024
Read Time 2 MIN
The Morningstar® Wide Moat Focus IndexSM (the “Moat Index” or “Index”) underwent its quarterly review on June 21, 2024. The Index’s review process systematically targets attractively priced, high quality U.S. companies. Below are some key takeaways from the June review and how the Moat Index is positioned entering the second half of 2024. The full review results are available here: 2Q 2024 Index Reconstitution.
Moat Index Review Takeaways: Value Bias, Mag 7 Underweight, Valuation Discount
- Staying the Course as Valuations Lead the Way
The Moat Index entered 2024 with a contrarian bias toward large cap stocks (as opposed to the mega caps that dominate the S&P 500 Index) and a very slight value posture. That bias has remained through the first two quarter reviews of the year. The Moat Index remains notably underweight growth stocks relative to the S&P 500 with core stocks that exhibit characteristics of both growth and value making up much of the difference. The recent exposure has reflected the valuation opportunities in the U.S. market among high quality, wide moat companies as the Index’s systematic, rules-based process avoids the tendency to follow the crowd.
- The Magnificent 7 Continues its Climb
The S&P 500 Index, widely owned by investors of all types by way of index funds, has seen several of the Magnificent 7 companies battle it out for the title of largest market cap over the last several weeks. The result: more Magnificent 7 exposure in investors’ portfolios (and more influence on market returns). While Magnificent 7 exposure has increased from 28% of the S&P 500 at the end 2023 to 32% at present, the Moat Index comprises only 4.4% by way of Alphabet, Amazon, and Microsoft. The Moat Index has been consistently underweight these seven companies, offering investors differentiated exposure to U.S. equities.
- U.S. Equity Exposure Without the Lofty Valuations
The price/fair value ratio of the S&P 500 Index currently sits at 1.05. This implies that the companies in the S&P 500 are, overall, trading at approximately a 5% premium, according to Morningstar. This presents a challenge for investors looking to deploy cash into U.S. markets that have already appreciated by more than 15% this year. The Moat Index represents high quality companies currently mispriced by the market, in Morningstar’s view. It allows investors to consider a mix of well-positioned companies with upside potential. Currently, the Morningstar price/fair value ratio of the Moat Index is 0.81, implying a 19% discount to fair value.
MOAT | VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF
2Q 2024 Moat Index Review Results
Moat Index Sector Shifts Following 2Q 2024 Review
Moat Index Sector Exposure Relative to S&P 500 Index
Moat Index Style Exposure Relative to S&P 500 Index: Value Bias Persists
Source: Morningstar. As of 6/21/2024 unless otherwise noted.
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VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF (MOAT) and VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat Fund seek to replicate as closely as possible, before fees and expenses the price and yield performance of the Morningstar Wide Moat Focus Index.
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Important Disclosures
Source for all data unless otherwise noted: Morningstar.
This is not an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation to buy or sell any of the securities, financial instruments or digital assets mentioned herein. The information presented does not involve the rendering of personalized investment, financial, legal, tax advice, or any call to action. Certain statements contained herein may constitute projections, forecasts and other forward-looking statements, which do not reflect actual results, are for illustrative purposes only, are valid as of the date of this communication, and are subject to change without notice. Actual future performance of any assets mentioned is unknown. Information provided by third party sources are believed to be reliable and have not been independently verified for accuracy or completeness and cannot be guaranteed. VanEck does not guarantee the accuracy of third party data. The information herein represents the opinion of the author(s), but not necessarily those of VanEck or its other employees.
Holdings will vary for the MOAT ETF and its corresponding Index. For a complete list of holdings in the ETF, please click here: MOAT - VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF - Holdings.
Effective June 20, 2016, Morningstar implemented several changes to the Morningstar Wide Moat Focus Index construction rules. Among other changes, the index increased its constituent count from 20 stocks to at least 40 stocks and modified its rebalance and reconstitution methodology. These changes may result in more diversified exposure, lower turnover, and longer holding periods for index constituents than under the rules in effect prior to this date. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
An investor cannot invest directly in an index. Returns reflect past performance and do not guarantee future results. Results reflect the reinvestment of dividends and capital gains, if any. Certain indices may take into account withholding taxes. Index returns do not represent Fund returns. The Index does not charge management fees or brokerage expenses, nor does the Index lend securities, and no revenues from securities lending were added to the performance shown.
The Morningstar® Wide Moat Focus IndexSM was created and is maintained by Morningstar, Inc. Morningstar, Inc. does not sponsor, endorse, issue, sell, or promote the VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF or VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat Fund and bears no liability with respect to the funds or any security. Morningstar® is a registered trademark of Morningstar, Inc. Morningstar® Wide Moat Focus IndexSM is a service mark of Morningstar, Inc.
The Morningstar® Wide Moat Focus IndexSM Intended to track the overall performance of attractively priced companies with sustainable competitive advantages according to Morningstar's equity research team.
An investment in the VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF (MOAT®) may be subject to risks which include, among others, risks related to investing in equity securities, health care sector, industrials sector, information technology sector, financials sector, medium-capitalization companies, market, operational, high portfolio turnover, index tracking, authorized participant concentration, no guarantee of active trading market, trading issues, passive management, fund shares trading, premium/discount risk and liquidity of fund shares, non-diversification and index-related concentration risks, all of which may adversely affect the Fund. Medium-capitalization companies may be subject to elevated risks.
You can lose money by investing in the VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat Fund. Any investment in the Fund should be part of an overall investment program rather than a complete program. The Fund is subject to risks which may include, but are not limited to, risks related to competitive advantage assessment, equity securities, financials sector, health care sector, high portfolio turnover, index tracking, industrials sector, industry concentration, information technology sector, market, medium-capitalization companies, non-diversification, operational, passive management, and underlying fund investments risk, all of which may adversely affect the Fund. Medium-capitalization companies may be subject to elevated risks. The Fund's assets may be concentrated in a particular sector and may be subject to more risk than investments in a diverse group of sectors.
Investing involves substantial risk and high volatility, including possible loss of principal. An investor should consider the investment objective, risks, charges and expenses of a Fund carefully before investing. To obtain a prospectus and summary prospectus, which contain this and other information, call 800.826.2333 or visit vaneck.com. Please read the prospectus and summary prospectus carefully before investing.
© Van Eck Securities Corporation, Distributor, a wholly owned subsidiary of Van Eck Associates Corporation.
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Important Disclosures
Source for all data unless otherwise noted: Morningstar.
This is not an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation to buy or sell any of the securities, financial instruments or digital assets mentioned herein. The information presented does not involve the rendering of personalized investment, financial, legal, tax advice, or any call to action. Certain statements contained herein may constitute projections, forecasts and other forward-looking statements, which do not reflect actual results, are for illustrative purposes only, are valid as of the date of this communication, and are subject to change without notice. Actual future performance of any assets mentioned is unknown. Information provided by third party sources are believed to be reliable and have not been independently verified for accuracy or completeness and cannot be guaranteed. VanEck does not guarantee the accuracy of third party data. The information herein represents the opinion of the author(s), but not necessarily those of VanEck or its other employees.
Holdings will vary for the MOAT ETF and its corresponding Index. For a complete list of holdings in the ETF, please click here: MOAT - VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF - Holdings.
Effective June 20, 2016, Morningstar implemented several changes to the Morningstar Wide Moat Focus Index construction rules. Among other changes, the index increased its constituent count from 20 stocks to at least 40 stocks and modified its rebalance and reconstitution methodology. These changes may result in more diversified exposure, lower turnover, and longer holding periods for index constituents than under the rules in effect prior to this date. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
An investor cannot invest directly in an index. Returns reflect past performance and do not guarantee future results. Results reflect the reinvestment of dividends and capital gains, if any. Certain indices may take into account withholding taxes. Index returns do not represent Fund returns. The Index does not charge management fees or brokerage expenses, nor does the Index lend securities, and no revenues from securities lending were added to the performance shown.
The Morningstar® Wide Moat Focus IndexSM was created and is maintained by Morningstar, Inc. Morningstar, Inc. does not sponsor, endorse, issue, sell, or promote the VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF or VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat Fund and bears no liability with respect to the funds or any security. Morningstar® is a registered trademark of Morningstar, Inc. Morningstar® Wide Moat Focus IndexSM is a service mark of Morningstar, Inc.
The Morningstar® Wide Moat Focus IndexSM Intended to track the overall performance of attractively priced companies with sustainable competitive advantages according to Morningstar's equity research team.
An investment in the VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF (MOAT®) may be subject to risks which include, among others, risks related to investing in equity securities, health care sector, industrials sector, information technology sector, financials sector, medium-capitalization companies, market, operational, high portfolio turnover, index tracking, authorized participant concentration, no guarantee of active trading market, trading issues, passive management, fund shares trading, premium/discount risk and liquidity of fund shares, non-diversification and index-related concentration risks, all of which may adversely affect the Fund. Medium-capitalization companies may be subject to elevated risks.
You can lose money by investing in the VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat Fund. Any investment in the Fund should be part of an overall investment program rather than a complete program. The Fund is subject to risks which may include, but are not limited to, risks related to competitive advantage assessment, equity securities, financials sector, health care sector, high portfolio turnover, index tracking, industrials sector, industry concentration, information technology sector, market, medium-capitalization companies, non-diversification, operational, passive management, and underlying fund investments risk, all of which may adversely affect the Fund. Medium-capitalization companies may be subject to elevated risks. The Fund's assets may be concentrated in a particular sector and may be subject to more risk than investments in a diverse group of sectors.
Investing involves substantial risk and high volatility, including possible loss of principal. An investor should consider the investment objective, risks, charges and expenses of a Fund carefully before investing. To obtain a prospectus and summary prospectus, which contain this and other information, call 800.826.2333 or visit vaneck.com. Please read the prospectus and summary prospectus carefully before investing.
© Van Eck Securities Corporation, Distributor, a wholly owned subsidiary of Van Eck Associates Corporation.