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HYEM ETF: Question and Answer

08 July 2024

Read Time 6 MIN

High yield emerging markets corporate bonds can help investors generate higher yields without taking on additional credit risk compared to a more U.S. focused high yield allocation.

High yield (HY) emerging markets (EM) corporate bonds are a compelling investment opportunity that is often overlooked in a broader strategic asset allocation. In this Q&A, we explore the size, composition and advantages of the EM high yield corporate bond market. We also provide insights into the risk profile of the asset class, performance drivers, and accessing exposure with the VanEck Emerging Markets High Yield Bond ETF (HYEM).

What is the size and composition of the high yield EM corporate bond market?

The global high yield space has a market value of approximately $1.4 trillion, of which emerging markets issuers make up about 17%. The ICE BofA Diversified High Yield US Emerging Markets Corporate Plus Index tracks EM HY corporate bonds issued by companies across 48 countries and 20 sectors. Sector exposures within the EM HY corporate bond universe are shown below.

High Yield EM Breakdown by Sector

Sector Weight (%)
Energy 19.9
Banking 14.1
Basic Industry 13.0
Utility 8.3
Transportation 5.7
Real Estate 5.2
Leisure 5.1
Local-Authority 4.6
Telecommunications 4.0
Financial Services 3.6

Source: ICE Data Indices as of 5/31/2024.

Why invest in high yield EM corporates?

Investing in high yield EM corporates can provide several benefits within a broader high yield portfolio, including yield pickup, higher quality and diversification benefits. A yield comparison versus other fixed income asset classes is shown below.

Higher Yields Than US, Global and Other EM Fixed Income

Higher Yields Than US, Global and Other EM Fixed Income

Source: ICE Data Indices, LLC and J.P. Morgan as of 3/31/2024. EM High Yield Corp: ICE BofA Diversified High Yield US Emerging Markets Corporate Plus Index; Local Currency EM Sovereign: J.P. Morgan GBI-EM Global Diversified; USD EM Sovereign: J.P. Morgan EMBI Global Diversified; U.S. High Yield Corp: ICE BofA U.S. High Yield Index; US IG Corp: ICE BofA Corporate Bonds Index; US Agg: ICE BofA US Broad Market Index; Global Agg: ICE BofA Global Broad Market Index. Yield to Worst measures the lowest of either yield.

Emerging markets companies generally must pay higher yields compared to developed markets corporates to compensate investors for the risks associated with investing in emerging markets. However, some of this perceived risk is related to a “stigma” that EM issuers must overcome, rather than a riskier credit profile. For example, even at the same rating level, EM issuers generally pay a premium. Further, compared to U.S. HY bond issuers, EM HY corporate bonds have a higher tilt to BB rated bonds and conversely, a lower exposure to single B and CCC issuers. In addition, high yield EM issuers have historically exhibited lower levels of leverage (given their higher spreads), which translates to a higher spread per unit of leverage. In other words, high yield EM corporate bond investors are being paid more to take less risk compared to U.S. high yield bond investors.

High Yield EM Bonds Offer Attractive Compensation for Risk

High Yield EM Bonds Offer Attractive Compensation for Risk

Source: BofA Research, as of 12/31/2023. EM HY is represented by ICE BofA High Yield US Emerging Markets Liquid Corporate Plus Index; US HY is represented by ICE BofA US High Yield Index.

Adding EM high yield corporate bond exposure can therefore allow investors to generate higher yields without taking on additional credit risk compared to a more U.S. focused high yield allocation.

What is the credit quality profile of EM high yield corporates?

The overall credit quality of the bonds held in the HY EM corporate bond index is higher than that of U.S. HY bonds (as represented by the ICE BofA U.S. High Yield Index), with a higher weighting to BB rated bonds and a lower weighting to single B and below rated bonds. EM high yield corporate bonds have historically exhibited a similar annual average default rate versus U.S. HY corporate bonds (note: the relatively high default rate in 2022 was primarily due to Russian issuers and companies in the Chinese property sector).

Emerging Markets HY Bonds Tilt to Higher Quality

Emerging Markets HY Bonds Tilt to Higher Quality

Source: FactSet and ICE Data Indices, LLC as of 5/31/2024. EM High Yield Corp Bonds: ICE BofA Diversified High Yield US Emerging Markets Corporate Plus Index; U.S. High Yield Corporate Bonds: ICE BofA U.S. High Yield Index. Yield to Worst measures the lowest of either yield

What are the major risk/performance drivers of high yield EM corporate bonds?

High yields (due to significant credit spreads, i.e., the differential between HY EM bonds and risk-free benchmarks such as U.S. treasuries) are the primary return contributor for HY EM corporate bonds. Investors benefit from the high level of interest that can be earned by holding these bonds. However, movements in spreads can introduce price volatility. Although investors benefit from a decline in credit spreads, which may reflect lower perceived risk implied by market pricing, bond prices will decline if spreads widen. In periods of stress, high yield credit spreads can widen significantly.

In addition to credit spreads, the direction of U.S. interest rates will also impact returns because the bonds are denominated in U.S. dollars. A decline in interest rates results in higher bond prices, increasing total returns, while an increase in U.S. interest rates will detract from total return. Investing in EM corporates also involves unique risk drivers, such as political instability in emerging markets, which can lead to changes in economic policies and regulatory environments that impact corporate profits. HY EM corporate issuers may also have currency risk, as fluctuations in their local currency against the U.S. dollar can affect their ability to repay debt. Additionally, EM corporates often operate in less mature and less transparent markets, which can increase both credit and liquidity risks.

How do high yield EM corporates fit within a portfolio?

An allocation to high yield EM corporates can allow investors to build a higher-yielding, more complete global high yield portfolio that provides exposure to emerging markets growth opportunities. High yield emerging markets corporate bonds are not represented in U.S. high yield bond benchmarks, which creates significant diversification potential. Second, HY EM corporates allow investors to capitalize on the growth potential within EM, as many of these countries have shown higher growth rates than developed markets. EM corporates that derive most of their revenue in these higher growth countries may potentially benefit from higher corporate earnings and improved fundamentals. Moreover, HY EM corporates can serve as a complement to EM equities, offering potentially lower volatility and a different risk-return profile. Alongside an EM equity allocation, EM corporate bond exposure can allow investors to capture EM growth opportunities, while generating attractive income and lowering the volatility of an overall EM allocation.

10Y Risk/Return Characteristics
  Return (%) St Dev Max Drawdown Sharpe Ratio
ICE Div HY EM Corp + 3.3 9.5 -26.3 0.23
MSCI EM 2.7 17.2 -36.0 0.15

Source: Morningstar as of 5/31/2024. EM HY Corp is represented by ICE BofA Diversified High Yield US Emerging Markets Corporate Plus Index; EM Equities is represented by MSCI Emerging Markets Index.

How can investors access high yield emerging markets corporate bonds?

The VanEck Emerging Markets High Yield Bond ETF (HYEM®) seeks to replicate the price and yield performance of the ICE BofA Diversified High Yield US Emerging Markets Corporate Plus Index (EMLH), which consists of U.S. dollar-denominated bonds issued by non-sovereign emerging markets issuers that are rated below investment grade and that are issued in the major domestic and Eurobond markets.

IMPORTANT DEFINITIONS & DISCLOSURES

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