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Seasoned investment professionals, sector-dedicated analysts and creative thinkers are at the heart of our business. Get their perspective on today's market climate.

Outlook 2013: Global Easing, Growth and Commodities(3:58)

Roland Morris
Commodity Strategist,
Van Eck Global Hard Assets Investment Team

January 17, 2013

GLOBAL MONETARY EASING


In theory, we have a tremendous amount of monetary stimulus coming into the global economy starting this year.  Most of these policies have been announced over the last quarter.  But it looks like we could have simultaneous, aggressive monetary easing by the ECB, the U.S. Fed, possibly the Banks of Japan, China, and continued support from Britain.  If you think about it, this is likely to be one of the unique times where we actually have a global synchronized monetary event.  It should have a fairly significant impact on global growth, particularly starting in the second half of 2013.  Most economists feel that monetary policy stimulus takes about six months to work through the system.  Markets obviously will react before that. But the actual growth that we should expect is likely to occur in the second half of 2013.


SUPPORT FOR COMMODITIES


Commodities should be supported by economic growth.  Really, for our sector, the natural resources sector, and all commodities, emerging growth's extremely important, but in general global growth is very, very important.  Assuming this monetary stimulus is allowed to work its way through the system without government policies disrupting the economy in other ways, we should see economic growth, and that should translate into commodity demand.  I would actually expect commodities to react before that, possibly starting in the second quarter.  Assuming the U.S. works through its fiscal situation, I would expect commodity markets to start to react in that time frame, anticipating stronger growth, particularly emerging markets growth.


FISCAL CLIFF RESOLUTIONS


I would expect risk assets in general to perform extremely well.  Commodities which have underperformed equities in the fourth quarter of 2012 should actually outperform equities in this scenario.  The equity market has been discounting during late December, but commodities have been relatively sluggish, and I think they need to catch up if this agreement is reached.


FAVORITE COMMODITY PLAY FOR 2013


Gold will be an asset that will become a flight-to-safety asset again.  Similar to its situation immediately following the '08 crisis.  Monetary stimulus is likely to flow into assets, and I think under either scenario, gold could be the beneficiary.  Someone said that you want to own what the central banks can't print.  And in my mind, that's gold and natural resources -- hard assets in general.


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IMPORTANT DISCLOSURE


The views and opinions expressed are those of the speaker and are current as of the video’s posting date. Video commentaries are general in nature and should not be construed as investment advice. Opinions are subject to change with market conditions. All performance information is historical and is not a guarantee of future results. For more information about Van Eck Funds, Market Vectors ETFs or fund performance, visit vaneck.com. Any discussion of specific securities mentioned in the video commentaries is neither an offer to sell nor a solicitation to buy these securities. Fund holdings will vary. All indices mentioned are measures of common market sectors and performance. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Information on holdings, performance and indices can be found atvaneck.com.


Please note that Van Eck Securities Corporation offers investment products that invest in the asset class(es) included in this video. Hard Assets investments are subject to risks associated with real estate, precious metals, natural resources and commodities and events related to these industries, foreign investments, illiquidity, credit, interest rate fluctuations, inflation, leverage, and non-diversification.


Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal. An investor should carefully consider investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses of the investment company before investing. Call 800.826.2333 or click below to obtain a prospectus and summary prospectus which contain this and other information. Please read the prospectus and summary prospectus carefully before investing. A Fund prospectus is available at vaneck.com


No part of this material may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Van Eck Securities Corporation. © 2013 Van Eck Securities Corporation.


Van Eck Securities Corporation, Distributor
335 Madison Avenue, New York, NY 10017

 
Hard Assets (8)
Examining Gold’s Astonishing April Sell-Off(04:45)
Imaru Casanova
Metals & Mining Analyst,
Van Eck International Investors Gold Investment Team


posted on May 15, 2013

"We think gold needs to form a new base, somewhere around the $1400 level, before we see it resume its bull trend later this year."


Aftershock from the Cyprus Banking Crisis(4:12)
Roland Morris
Commodity Strategist,
Van Eck Global Hard Assets Investment Team


posted on April 12, 2013

"Most people may not realize this, but most countries in Europe have banking systems that are larger than their economies. I believe there is a chance that this spreads to banking concerns within Italy."


Gold Miners: Coming to Terms with Costs(3:20)
Imaru Casanova
Metals & Mining Analyst,
Van Eck International Investors Gold Investment Team


posted on April 12, 2013

"They're starting to adopt a new measure referred to as all-in sustaining cash costs-- which we feel should be a better measure, it should more fully reflect the real cost of producing an ounce of gold."


Global Research: Mining in the Dominican Republic(4:24)
Joe Foster
Portfolio Manager,
Van Eck International Investors Gold Investment Team


posted on April 5, 2013

"There have been some exciting discoveries, some great drill results, come out of the Dominican Republic."


Outlook 2013: Base Metals, Copper and Strikes in South Africa(4:07)
Charl Malan
Metals & Mining Analyst,
Van Eck Global Hard Assets Investment Team


posted on January 17, 2013

"Why do I like copper so much? Copper is a very unique commodity relative to other base and industrial metals."


Outlook 2013: Gold Miners, Bullion and Valuations (3:36)
Imaru Casanova
Metals & Mining Analyst,
Van Eck International Investors Gold Investment Team


posted on January 17, 2013

"Gold stocks, in our opinion, are under-held and under-valued, and we think this presents an opportunity going into 2013."


Outlook 2013: Global Easing, Growth and Commodities(3:58)
Roland Morris
Commodity Strategist,
Van Eck Global Hard Assets Investment Team


posted on January 17, 2013

"Someone said that you want to own what the central banks can't print. And in my mind, that's gold and hard assets in general.


Global Research: Mining in Greece (2:56)
Joe Foster
Portfolio Manager
Van Eck International Investors Gold Investment Team


posted on November 20, 2012

“Greece is taking a second look at mining and we are seeing some of it gold properties being developed. They have created a fast-track program for new businesses. . .”


Emerging Markets (4)
Mid-Year Update on EM Equities(5:38)
David Semple
Portfolio Manager,
Van Eck Emerging Markets Fund


posted on June 6, 2013

"There's no question that China is going to grow at a slower pace than it has done before...But it's also very clear that the government is focusing on the quality of the growth as well...We expect some reasonably significant reforms to come out in probably the latter half of this year, maybe for the party plenum in October."


Latin America: Gearing Up for Growth (05:26)
Ed Kuczma
Emerging Markets Analyst, Van Eck Emerging Markets Investment Team

posted on May 15, 2013

"The Mexican stock exchange has been a tremendous performer relative to other Latin American and emerging markets over the past year."


Measuring EM Valuations in 2013(4:18)
David Semple
Portfolio Manager,
Van Eck Emerging Markets Investment Team


posted on March 5, 2013

"There have been very significant inflows into emerging markets equity and debt…which can be seen as a tactical sell indicator. I think that people are starting to act on the realization that emerging markets economies are in much better shape than most developed markets economies."


Forecasting Growth in Asia in 2013(4:02)
Angus Shillington
Emerging Markets Analyst,
Van Eck Emerging Markets Investment Team


posted on March 5, 2013

"Coming out of the heroic stimulus package of 2009, there were some big economic problems in China….at the end of last year and early this year, however, we started to see growth even-out and, in some cases, accelerate…. China's real estate market has now stabilized....it appears that the Chinese government has control of the situation."


Editor's Choice (18)
Impact of U.S. & JP Policy on EM Debt(5:17)
Eric Fine
Portfolio Manager,
Van Eck Unconstrained Emerging Markets Bond Fund


posted on June 6, 2013

"I think the Bank of Japan's policy has a bunch of implications. One of the implications is, it will appear to be positive for nominal risk. I think another implication is that they are going to be looking to buy other emerging market bonds."


What Are Bond Investors Worried About?(05:40)
Fran Rodilosso
Portfolio Manager,
Market Vectors® Income ETFs


posted on May 15, 2013

"Traditional fixed-income investors are faced with a choice between taking on additional duration or credit risk in order to enhance portfolio yield or current income."


Interest Rates and Credit: Considerations, Preparations and Outlook(5:56)
Fran Rodilosso
Portfolio Manager,
Market Vectors® Income ETFs


posted on April 12, 2013

"In short, we see very limited scope for lower interest rates, and we also see the possibility of an inelegant exit from the massive balance sheet expansion that the Fed has been undertaking for several years."


Global Research: Economic Policy in India(5:42)
Eric Fine
Portfolio Manager,
Van Eck Emerging Markets Bond Investment Team


posted on April 5, 2013

"My main takeaways were that there is some very positive reform momentum and that the India investment story is probably going to benefit equity investors more than bond investors."


Sequestration and the Great Rotation: The Impact on Munis(03:43)
Jim Colby
Portfolio Manager,
Market Vectors® Municipal Bond ETFs


posted on March 29, 2013

"While inflows have been positive, cash for reinvestment, a huge contributor to demand in 2012, has ebbed significantly this March, and is expected to do so again in April."


Investing in a Post-Chavez Venezuela(04:15)
Eric Fine
Portfolio Manager,
Van Eck Emerging Markets Bond Investment Team


posted on March 15, 2013

"For the near-term, we are not bullish on Venezuela's debt. The market may have overreacted positively to Chavez’s death and transition risks remain. It's more short-term issues that are keeping us away."


What Every Retirement Advisor Needs to Know in 2013(5:40)
Patrick Lulley
V.P. DCIO and Insurance

posted on March 15, 2013

"2012 brought greater focus and transparency on retirement plan costs....This has led to an opportunity for retirement advisors."


Indonesia: Continuing Its Record of Strong Economic Growth(8:11)
Neena Mishra
Director of ETF Research, Zacks Investment Research

posted on February 21, 2013

"Indonesia’s economy has grown at an annual rate exceeding 5% in seven of the past eight years, mainly due to increasing consumption by the rising middle class."


Vietnam: Transition to a Leading Low-Cost Manufacturer(6:32)
Neena Mishra
Director of ETF Research, Zacks Investment Research

posted on February 21, 2013

"Vietnam continues to be the main beneficiary of the migration of low-end manufacturing out of China as the producers try to take advantage of wages that are about half of that in China."


Counterpoint: Top EM Plays for 2013(05:54)
Eric Fine & Fran Rodilosso
Portfolio Managers

posted on February 1, 2013

"The top four emerging markets I like right now are the local markets of Nigeria, Mexico, Russia and Indonesia."


Counterpoint: EM Currency Opportunities in 2013(3:28)
Eric Fine & Fran Rodilosso
Portfolio Managers

posted on February 1, 2013

"We really like local currency in EM debt right now...It's where the rubber meets the road."


Counterpoint: EM Fixed-Income Bubble?(3:33)
Eric Fine & Fran Rodilosso
Portfolio Managers

posted on February 1, 2013

"I think using the word "bubble" right now... is not thinking about the situation in the right way."


Counterpoint: EM Bonds as an Asset Class(3:45)
Eric Fine & Fran Rodilosso
Portfolio Managers

posted on February 1, 2013

"...emerging markets fits pretty interestingly right now in terms of its fundamentals."


Emerging Markets Bond: Key Themes for 2013(3:44)
Eric Fine
Portfolio Manager
Van Eck Emerging Markets Bond Investment Team


posted on January 24, 2013

"The push away from developed economy currencies is a big macro theme for 2013."


Why Alternatives Investors Should Target Minimum Allocations (6:28)
David Schassler
Director of Manager Research, Multi-Manager Alternatives Investment Team

posted on October 25, 2012




The Research Behind MOAT ETF(16:42)
Stipp & Larson
Morningstar

posted on May 1, 2012

Morningstar's Chief Equity Strategist discusses the five sources of economic moat.


CMCAX: Understanding Contango, Backwardation, Roll Yield(02:08)
Daniel Reiss
Associate

posted on

Understand key investment concepts that impact Van Eck CM Commodity Index Fund (CMCAX)


CMCAX: The Constant Maturity Concept(01:58)
Daniel Reiss
Associate

posted on

Understand the "constant maturity" concept that is key to Van Eck CM Commodity Index Fund (CMCAX)


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