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Seasoned investment professionals, sector-dedicated analysts and creative thinkers are at the heart of our business. Get their perspective on today's market climate.

Outlook 2013: Base Metals, Copper and Strikes in South Africa(4:07)

Charl Malan
Metals & Mining Analyst,
Van Eck Global Hard Assets Investment Team

January 17, 2013
The outlook for base and industrial metals in 2013, I believe, will be a continuation of margin improvement, purely because companies are pushing back on service providers. I do believe commodity prices will remain quite strong. Also, I still believe that copper prices will hold up much stronger than other base metal prices, such as aluminum. Hence our portfolio continues to be weighted significantly more towards copper companies, specifically companies that have significant volume growth. What I am looking for in equities in 2013, first of all, are companies that can push back on the service providers and hence increase their margins. I am looking for companies that have volume growth associated with their various products.  And I am looking for companies that clearly have upside exploration activity.


WHY COPPER?


Why do I like copper so much?  Copper is a very unique commodity relative to other base and industrial metals. One reason is that its supply is significantly more constrained. Secondly, its inventories, whether they are in warehouses in London or warehouses in Asia, are significantly lower.  By contrast, production volumes for commodities such as aluminum are consistently increasing, specifically in places like China; and volume inventories here in the U.S., Europe, and China are extremely high. I like copper purely because the supply dynamics are much more constrained than the supply dynamics for other metals, like aluminum. To put it in context, I think supply in copper concentrate in 2013 will be somewhere around 4%. I do think that is a high number potentially on the back of potential strike actions that I anticipate, while supply growth in aluminum could be much closer to 6% or 7%, and demand for that could be as low as 3%, while copper demand I think could be much closer to around about 6% in 2013.


 

TENSIONS IN SOUTH AFRICA


Mining strikes in 2012 was clearly a big theme, specifically in South Africa, where we saw at one stage nearly a 100,000 miners on strike. Why was it important in South Africa?  First of all, South Africa is the biggest platinum producer, the second-biggest palladium producer, one of the world's biggest coal producers, as well as one of the world's biggest gold producers, as well as ferrochrome and many other commodities. I do think the strikes in 2012 in South Africa will continue into 2013, driven by different events than we saw in 2012.  I do think that there is a real risk that these strikes could spill out into other countries.  What we have seen in South Africa has been noted by international union members and international union leaders, and I think that they will take note of this. In 2013, labor negotiations are likely to be quite complex and difficult.



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IMPORTANT DISCLOSURE


The views and opinions expressed are those of the speaker and are current as of the video’s posting date. Video commentaries are general in nature and should not be construed as investment advice. Opinions are subject to change with market conditions. All performance information is historical and is not a guarantee of future results. For more information about Van Eck Global, Market Vectors or fund performance, visit vaneck.com. Any discussion of specific securities mentioned in the commentaries is neither an offer to sell nor a solicitation to buy these securities. Fund holdings will vary. All indexes mentioned are measures of common market sectors and performance. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. www.vaneck.com provides for more information on holdings, performance and indices


Please note that Van Eck Securities Corporation offers investment products that invest in the asset class(es) included in this video. Hard Assets investments are subject to risks associated with real estate, precious metals, natural resources and commodities and events related to these industries, foreign investments, illiquidity, credit, interest rate fluctuations, inflation, leverage, and non-diversification.


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Hard Assets (13)
Examining Gold’s Astonishing April Sell-Off(04:45)
Imaru Casanova
Metals & Mining Analyst,
Van Eck International Investors Gold Investment Team


posted on May 15, 2013

"We think gold needs to form a new base, somewhere around the $1400 level, before we see it resume its bull trend later this year."


Aftershock from the Cyprus Banking Crisis(4:12)
Roland Morris
Commodity Strategist,
Van Eck Global Hard Assets Investment Team


posted on April 12, 2013

"Most people may not realize this, but most countries in Europe have banking systems that are larger than their economies. I believe there is a chance that this spreads to banking concerns within Italy."


Gold Miners: Coming to Terms with Costs(3:20)
Imaru Casanova
Metals & Mining Analyst,
Van Eck International Investors Gold Investment Team


posted on April 12, 2013

"They're starting to adopt a new measure referred to as all-in sustaining cash costs-- which we feel should be a better measure, it should more fully reflect the real cost of producing an ounce of gold."


Global Research: Mining in the Dominican Republic(4:24)
Joe Foster
Portfolio Manager,
Van Eck International Investors Gold Investment Team


posted on April 5, 2013

"There have been some exciting discoveries, some great drill results, come out of the Dominican Republic."


Outlook 2013: Base Metals, Copper and Strikes in South Africa(4:07)
Charl Malan
Metals & Mining Analyst,
Van Eck Global Hard Assets Investment Team


posted on January 17, 2013

"Why do I like copper so much? Copper is a very unique commodity relative to other base and industrial metals."


Outlook 2013: Gold Miners, Bullion and Valuations (3:36)
Imaru Casanova
Metals & Mining Analyst,
Van Eck International Investors Gold Investment Team


posted on January 17, 2013

"Gold stocks, in our opinion, are under-held and under-valued, and we think this presents an opportunity going into 2013."


Outlook 2013: Global Easing, Growth and Commodities(3:58)
Roland Morris
Commodity Strategist,
Van Eck Global Hard Assets Investment Team


posted on January 17, 2013

"Someone said that you want to own what the central banks can't print. And in my mind, that's gold and hard assets in general.


Gold Mining Industry Update: Controlling Costs - 4Q'12(2:51)
Joe Foster
Portfolio Manager
Van Eck International Investors Gold Investment Team


posted on November 20, 2012

". . . they will scale back, re-engineer, or eliminate some of these projects in order to produce a higher bottom-line profit."


Gold Outlook: QE3, Junior & Silver Miners 4Q’12(3:01)
Joe Foster
Portfolio Manager
Van Eck International Investors Gold Investment Team


posted on November 20, 2012

". . . the Fed telling us that it is going to keep rates at zero through the middle of 2015, which translates to negative real interest rates, is a big driver of a gold bull market."


Global Research: Mining in Greece (2:56)
Joe Foster
Portfolio Manager
Van Eck International Investors Gold Investment Team


posted on November 20, 2012

“Greece is taking a second look at mining and we are seeing some of it gold properties being developed. They have created a fast-track program for new businesses. . .”


Geopolitics and Global Demand for Energy 4Q'12(4:30)
Shawn Reynolds
Co-Portfolio Manager,
Van Eck Global Hard Assets Investment Team


posted on October 22, 2012

"With oil prices being fairly resilient in the $90 to $105 range, we see the resurgence of international exploration across the globe."


Dissecting QE3 & Opportunities in Hard Assets 4Q'12(2:39)
Charlie Cameron
Co-Portfolio Manager, Hard Assets Investment Team

posted on October 5, 2012

“The two sectors that we are most excited about are the domestic oil E&Ps and gold.”


Commodity Outlook 4Q'12: Grains, Oil & Gold(4:01)
Roland Morris
Commodity Strategist,
Van Eck Global Hard Assets Investment Team


posted on October 5, 2012

“We believe crude ought to trade between $90 and $105 based on West Texas intermediate. We think that’s the most likely scenario.”


Emerging Markets (8)
Latin America: Gearing Up for Growth (05:26)
Ed Kuczma
Emerging Markets Analyst, Van Eck Emerging Markets Investment Team

posted on May 15, 2013

"The Mexican stock exchange has been a tremendous performer relative to other Latin American and emerging markets over the past year."


Measuring EM Valuations in 2013(4:18)
David Semple
Portfolio Manager,
Van Eck Emerging Markets Investment Team


posted on March 5, 2013

"There have been very significant inflows into emerging markets equity and debt…which can be seen as a tactical sell indicator. I think that people are starting to act on the realization that emerging markets economies are in much better shape than most developed markets economies."


Forecasting Growth in Asia in 2013(4:02)
Angus Shillington
Emerging Markets Analyst,
Van Eck Emerging Markets Investment Team


posted on March 5, 2013

"Coming out of the heroic stimulus package of 2009, there were some big economic problems in China….at the end of last year and early this year, however, we started to see growth even-out and, in some cases, accelerate…. China's real estate market has now stabilized....it appears that the Chinese government has control of the situation."


EM: Searching for Growth in Asia 3Q'12(03:07)
David Semple
Portfolio Manager,
Van Eck Emerging Markets Investment Team


posted on August 10, 2012

"Indonesia and the Philippines appear very strong right now….visitors are constantly telling me about the busy shops and the tremendous amount of infrastructure building that is underway."


Eurozone's Impact on Emerging Markets 3Q'12(04:13)
David Semple
Portfolio Manager,
Van Eck Emerging Markets Investment team


posted on July 9, 2012

"We believe the emerging markets sector is in relatively good shape."


Investment Themes
in Brazil 3Q’12
(05:21)
Ed Kuczma
Emerging Markets Analyst


posted on July 9, 2012

"Brazil has a two-speed economy right now that may favor small-caps: decreased demand for exports and natural resources, contrasted by increased domestic consumption."


Investment Themes
in Colombia 3Q’12
(04:29)
Ed Kuczma
Emerging Markets Analyst


posted on July 9, 2012

"Colombia has experienced some of the strongest growth rates in Latin America.”


Investment Themes
in Russia 2Q’12
(04:51)
Ed Kuczma
Emerging Markets Analyst


posted on June 5, 2012

"Russia is trying to modernize and diversify away from natural resources by creating special economic zones and providing tax incentives."


Editor's Choice (21)
What Are Bond Investors Worried About?(05:40)
Fran Rodilosso
Portfolio Manager,
Market Vectors® Income ETFs


posted on May 15, 2013

"Traditional fixed-income investors are faced with a choice between taking on additional duration or credit risk in order to enhance portfolio yield or current income."


Interest Rates and Credit: Considerations, Preparations and Outlook(5:56)
Fran Rodilosso
Portfolio Manager,
Market Vectors® Income ETFs


posted on April 12, 2013

"In short, we see very limited scope for lower interest rates, and we also see the possibility of an inelegant exit from the massive balance sheet expansion that the Fed has been undertaking for several years."


Global Research: Economic Policy in India(5:42)
Eric Fine
Portfolio Manager,
Van Eck Emerging Markets Bond Investment Team


posted on April 5, 2013

"My main takeaways were that there is some very positive reform momentum and that the India investment story is probably going to benefit equity investors more than bond investors."


Sequestration and the Great Rotation: The Impact on Munis(03:43)
Jim Colby
Portfolio Manager,
Market Vectors® Municipal Bond ETFs


posted on March 29, 2013

"While inflows have been positive, cash for reinvestment, a huge contributor to demand in 2012, has ebbed significantly this March, and is expected to do so again in April."


Investing in a Post-Chavez Venezuela(04:15)
Eric Fine
Portfolio Manager,
Van Eck Emerging Markets Bond Investment Team


posted on March 15, 2013

"For the near-term, we are not bullish on Venezuela's debt. The market may have overreacted positively to Chavez’s death and transition risks remain. It's more short-term issues that are keeping us away."


What Every Retirement Advisor Needs to Know in 2013(5:40)
Patrick Lulley
V.P. DCIO and Insurance

posted on March 15, 2013

"2012 brought greater focus and transparency on retirement plan costs....This has led to an opportunity for retirement advisors."


Indonesia: Continuing Its Record of Strong Economic Growth(8:11)
Neena Mishra
Director of ETF Research, Zacks Investment Research

posted on February 21, 2013

"Indonesia’s economy has grown at an annual rate exceeding 5% in seven of the past eight years, mainly due to increasing consumption by the rising middle class."


Vietnam: Transition to a Leading Low-Cost Manufacturer(6:32)
Neena Mishra
Director of ETF Research, Zacks Investment Research

posted on February 21, 2013

"Vietnam continues to be the main beneficiary of the migration of low-end manufacturing out of China as the producers try to take advantage of wages that are about half of that in China."


Counterpoint: Top EM Plays for 2013(05:54)
Eric Fine & Fran Rodilosso
Portfolio Managers

posted on February 1, 2013

"The top four emerging markets I like right now are the local markets of Nigeria, Mexico, Russia and Indonesia."


Counterpoint: EM Currency Opportunities in 2013(3:28)
Eric Fine & Fran Rodilosso
Portfolio Managers

posted on February 1, 2013

"We really like local currency in EM debt right now...It's where the rubber meets the road."


Counterpoint: EM Fixed-Income Bubble?(3:33)
Eric Fine & Fran Rodilosso
Portfolio Managers

posted on February 1, 2013

"I think using the word "bubble" right now... is not thinking about the situation in the right way."


Counterpoint: EM Bonds as an Asset Class(3:45)
Eric Fine & Fran Rodilosso
Portfolio Managers

posted on February 1, 2013

"...emerging markets fits pretty interestingly right now in terms of its fundamentals."


Emerging Markets Bond: Hard versus Local Currency 1Q'12(3:52)
Eric Fine
Portfolio Manager
Van Eck Emerging Markets Bond Investment Team


posted on January 24, 2013

"The most basic difference is that in local currency the risk of actual default is not the primary concern."


Emerging Markets Bond: Key Themes for 2013(3:44)
Eric Fine
Portfolio Manager
Van Eck Emerging Markets Bond Investment Team


posted on January 24, 2013

"The push away from developed economy currencies is a big macro theme for 2013."


Muni Health Check - 4Q'12(6:38)
Jim Colby
Portfolio Manager,
Market Vectors® Municipal Bond ETFs


posted on January 10, 2013

"The outlook for states and municipalities in 2013 is improving. There are many reasons to be optimistic about the recovery and the health of communities around the country."


TheStreet.com Interviews Colby on Munis(3:04)
Jim Colby
Portfolio Manager,
Market Vectors® Municipal Bond ETFs


posted on November 5, 2012

"I think this year, 2012, will be another positive year of returns for munis..."


Opportunities and Headwinds: EM High Yield 4Q'12(4:30)
Fran Rodilosso
Portfolio Manager,
Market Vectors Income ETFs


posted on October 22, 2012

"People who are not traditionally buyers of emerging markets or high-yield debt have moved out the risk curve…and are not doing it on excessive leverage."


Why Alternatives Investors Should Target Minimum Allocations (6:28)
David Schassler
Director of Manager Research, Multi-Manager Alternatives Investment Team

posted on October 25, 2012




The Research Behind MOAT ETF(16:42)
Stipp & Larson
Morningstar

posted on May 1, 2012

Morningstar's Chief Equity Strategist discusses the five sources of economic moat.


CMCAX: Understanding Contango, Backwardation, Roll Yield(02:08)
Daniel Reiss
Associate

posted on August 1, 2011

Understand key investment concepts that impact Van Eck CM Commodity Index Fund (CMCAX)


CMCAX: The Constant Maturity Concept(01:58)
Daniel Reiss
Associate

posted on August 1, 2011

Understand the "constant maturity" concept that is key to Van Eck CM Commodity Index Fund (CMCAX)


Video & Transcript Archive (35) Collapse -

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