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Seasoned investment professionals, sector-dedicated analysts and creative thinkers are at the heart of our business. Get their perspective on today's market climate.

Geopolitics and Global Demand for Energy 4Q'12(4:30)

Shawn Reynolds
Co-Portfolio Manager,
Van Eck Global Hard Assets Investment Team

October 22, 2012

MIDDLE EAST SENSITIVITY


SHAWN REYNOLDS, CO-PORTFOLIO MANAGER: I think, to put it all in context, you have to remember that there has been geopolitical risk in the oil industry, for the last 40 years. You go back to the very first Arab embargo in the early 1970s. There has always been a geopolitical risk premium built into the oil price. Is there some today? Absolutely, but again, it has always been there. It depends on the magnitude of how big it is. I would say that today it does not feel any more significant than it has been in other times in the recent past. Is it $10, is it $15? But it is not anything more significant than that and it is really probably not going to go away. Certainly, everything that we've seen in the Middle East heightens it a little bit, making you a little bit more sensitive and that might be fairly supportive in the short-term. But over the long-term, what we have seen in the oil price is supply and demand fundamentals are very, very supportive. That is what has been driving this oil price strength if you go back over the last ten years.


GLOBAL OIL DEMAND


I think it is important to point out that global demand growth is weakening, not global demand. It is not falling off. Now, if you concentrate just on the OECD and the western developed nations, then yes, demand is falling. But when you layer in the non-OECD and the emerging markets, overall, we are still very close to all-time record high consumption. Certainly when we look into 2013 even with a marginal outlook in terms of GDP growth for the globe, you are most likely going to see an increase in consumption and probably all-time record high demand for crude on a global basis. For quite some time now, we have had a price range, as we've often said, somewhere between $90 and $105 for WTI. We continue to think that is a nice, tight range for us to stick in. Are we going to go above it, below it? For periodic times, we do. But I think, longer-term, we are still sticking with $90 to $105.


NEAR-TERM OPPORTUNITIES


I think some of the key energy themes that we have been excited about for some time are still in place. There are three right now. The unconventional story – shale gas, shale oil in the United States – there is still a lot of value there, a lot of opportunity. And we think it is very compelling on a very selective basis. On that front, there are some names that have been in the portfolio for quite some time, like Pioneer, which is $105 stock. We think there is a lot more to go on that stock. Unconventional shale gas is less interesting, but we do think that we are getting very close to a bottom in natural gas prices. When we see us bottoming there, we might be rotating back into some shale gas themes that we have had success on historically. Mid-continent refining has been a theme that we have been pursuing for well over a year, and we continue to think that it is a real area of interest. They have been very good performers for us this year, and even last year, and we do not see that changing at all. And then finally, with oil prices kind of being fairly resilient in the $90 to $105 range, we really see the resurgence of international exploration pretty much across the globe. A lot of opportunities are popping up. And again, that is a theme that we have been in for some time, but we are actually starting to see a lot of interest outside of kind of a small group of investors. That is starting to get much broader, and that is obviously good for stock prices.



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IMPORTANT DISCLOSURE


The views and opinions expressed are those of the speaker and are current as of the video’s posting date. Video commentaries are general in nature and should not be construed as investment advice. Opinions are subject to change with market conditions. All performance information is historical and is not a guarantee of future results. For more information about Van Eck Funds, Market Vectors ETFs or fund performance, visit vaneck.com. Any discussion of specific securities mentioned in the video commentaries is neither an offer to sell nor a solicitation to buy these securities. Fund holdings will vary. All indices mentioned are measures of common market sectors and performance. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Information on holdings, performance and indices can be found at vaneck.com.


Please note that Van Eck Securities Corporation offers investment products that invest in the asset class(es) included in this video. Investments in emerging markets securities tend to be more volatile and less liquid than securities traded in developed countries. Emerging markets investments are subject to risks associated with investments in: foreign, emerging markets and debt securities.


Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal. An investor should carefully consider investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses of the investment company before investing. Call 800.826.2333 or click below to obtain a prospectus and summary prospectus which contain this and other information. Please read the prospectus and summary prospectus carefully before investing.


No part of this material may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Van Eck Securities Corporation. © 2012 Van Eck Securities Corporation.


Van Eck Securities Corporation, Distributor
335 Madison Avenue, New York, NY 10017

Hard Assets (13)
Examining Gold’s Astonishing April Sell-Off(04:45)
Imaru Casanova
Metals & Mining Analyst,
Van Eck International Investors Gold Investment Team


posted on May 15, 2013

"We think gold needs to form a new base, somewhere around the $1400 level, before we see it resume its bull trend later this year."


Aftershock from the Cyprus Banking Crisis(4:12)
Roland Morris
Commodity Strategist,
Van Eck Global Hard Assets Investment Team


posted on April 12, 2013

"Most people may not realize this, but most countries in Europe have banking systems that are larger than their economies. I believe there is a chance that this spreads to banking concerns within Italy."


Gold Miners: Coming to Terms with Costs(3:20)
Imaru Casanova
Metals & Mining Analyst,
Van Eck International Investors Gold Investment Team


posted on April 12, 2013

"They're starting to adopt a new measure referred to as all-in sustaining cash costs-- which we feel should be a better measure, it should more fully reflect the real cost of producing an ounce of gold."


Global Research: Mining in the Dominican Republic(4:24)
Joe Foster
Portfolio Manager,
Van Eck International Investors Gold Investment Team


posted on April 5, 2013

"There have been some exciting discoveries, some great drill results, come out of the Dominican Republic."


Outlook 2013: Base Metals, Copper and Strikes in South Africa(4:07)
Charl Malan
Metals & Mining Analyst,
Van Eck Global Hard Assets Investment Team


posted on January 17, 2013

"Why do I like copper so much? Copper is a very unique commodity relative to other base and industrial metals."


Outlook 2013: Gold Miners, Bullion and Valuations (3:36)
Imaru Casanova
Metals & Mining Analyst,
Van Eck International Investors Gold Investment Team


posted on January 17, 2013

"Gold stocks, in our opinion, are under-held and under-valued, and we think this presents an opportunity going into 2013."


Outlook 2013: Global Easing, Growth and Commodities(3:58)
Roland Morris
Commodity Strategist,
Van Eck Global Hard Assets Investment Team


posted on January 17, 2013

"Someone said that you want to own what the central banks can't print. And in my mind, that's gold and hard assets in general.


Gold Mining Industry Update: Controlling Costs - 4Q'12(2:51)
Joe Foster
Portfolio Manager
Van Eck International Investors Gold Investment Team


posted on November 20, 2012

". . . they will scale back, re-engineer, or eliminate some of these projects in order to produce a higher bottom-line profit."


Gold Outlook: QE3, Junior & Silver Miners 4Q’12(3:01)
Joe Foster
Portfolio Manager
Van Eck International Investors Gold Investment Team


posted on November 20, 2012

". . . the Fed telling us that it is going to keep rates at zero through the middle of 2015, which translates to negative real interest rates, is a big driver of a gold bull market."


Global Research: Mining in Greece (2:56)
Joe Foster
Portfolio Manager
Van Eck International Investors Gold Investment Team


posted on November 20, 2012

“Greece is taking a second look at mining and we are seeing some of it gold properties being developed. They have created a fast-track program for new businesses. . .”


Geopolitics and Global Demand for Energy 4Q'12(4:30)
Shawn Reynolds
Co-Portfolio Manager,
Van Eck Global Hard Assets Investment Team


posted on October 22, 2012

"With oil prices being fairly resilient in the $90 to $105 range, we see the resurgence of international exploration across the globe."


Dissecting QE3 & Opportunities in Hard Assets 4Q'12(2:39)
Charlie Cameron
Co-Portfolio Manager, Hard Assets Investment Team

posted on October 5, 2012

“The two sectors that we are most excited about are the domestic oil E&Ps and gold.”


Commodity Outlook 4Q'12: Grains, Oil & Gold(4:01)
Roland Morris
Commodity Strategist,
Van Eck Global Hard Assets Investment Team


posted on October 5, 2012

“We believe crude ought to trade between $90 and $105 based on West Texas intermediate. We think that’s the most likely scenario.”


Emerging Markets (8)
Latin America: Gearing Up for Growth (05:26)
Ed Kuczma
Emerging Markets Analyst, Van Eck Emerging Markets Investment Team

posted on May 15, 2013

"The Mexican stock exchange has been a tremendous performer relative to other Latin American and emerging markets over the past year."


Measuring EM Valuations in 2013(4:18)
David Semple
Portfolio Manager,
Van Eck Emerging Markets Investment Team


posted on March 5, 2013

"There have been very significant inflows into emerging markets equity and debt…which can be seen as a tactical sell indicator. I think that people are starting to act on the realization that emerging markets economies are in much better shape than most developed markets economies."


Forecasting Growth in Asia in 2013(4:02)
Angus Shillington
Emerging Markets Analyst,
Van Eck Emerging Markets Investment Team


posted on March 5, 2013

"Coming out of the heroic stimulus package of 2009, there were some big economic problems in China….at the end of last year and early this year, however, we started to see growth even-out and, in some cases, accelerate…. China's real estate market has now stabilized....it appears that the Chinese government has control of the situation."


EM: Searching for Growth in Asia 3Q'12(03:07)
David Semple
Portfolio Manager,
Van Eck Emerging Markets Investment Team


posted on August 10, 2012

"Indonesia and the Philippines appear very strong right now….visitors are constantly telling me about the busy shops and the tremendous amount of infrastructure building that is underway."


Eurozone's Impact on Emerging Markets 3Q'12(04:13)
David Semple
Portfolio Manager,
Van Eck Emerging Markets Investment team


posted on July 9, 2012

"We believe the emerging markets sector is in relatively good shape."


Investment Themes
in Brazil 3Q’12
(05:21)
Ed Kuczma
Emerging Markets Analyst


posted on July 9, 2012

"Brazil has a two-speed economy right now that may favor small-caps: decreased demand for exports and natural resources, contrasted by increased domestic consumption."


Investment Themes
in Colombia 3Q’12
(04:29)
Ed Kuczma
Emerging Markets Analyst


posted on July 9, 2012

"Colombia has experienced some of the strongest growth rates in Latin America.”


Investment Themes
in Russia 2Q’12
(04:51)
Ed Kuczma
Emerging Markets Analyst


posted on June 5, 2012

"Russia is trying to modernize and diversify away from natural resources by creating special economic zones and providing tax incentives."


Editor's Choice (21)
What Are Bond Investors Worried About?(05:40)
Fran Rodilosso
Portfolio Manager,
Market Vectors® Income ETFs


posted on May 15, 2013

"Traditional fixed-income investors are faced with a choice between taking on additional duration or credit risk in order to enhance portfolio yield or current income."


Interest Rates and Credit: Considerations, Preparations and Outlook(5:56)
Fran Rodilosso
Portfolio Manager,
Market Vectors® Income ETFs


posted on April 12, 2013

"In short, we see very limited scope for lower interest rates, and we also see the possibility of an inelegant exit from the massive balance sheet expansion that the Fed has been undertaking for several years."


Global Research: Economic Policy in India(5:42)
Eric Fine
Portfolio Manager,
Van Eck Emerging Markets Bond Investment Team


posted on April 5, 2013

"My main takeaways were that there is some very positive reform momentum and that the India investment story is probably going to benefit equity investors more than bond investors."


Sequestration and the Great Rotation: The Impact on Munis(03:43)
Jim Colby
Portfolio Manager,
Market Vectors® Municipal Bond ETFs


posted on March 29, 2013

"While inflows have been positive, cash for reinvestment, a huge contributor to demand in 2012, has ebbed significantly this March, and is expected to do so again in April."


Investing in a Post-Chavez Venezuela(04:15)
Eric Fine
Portfolio Manager,
Van Eck Emerging Markets Bond Investment Team


posted on March 15, 2013

"For the near-term, we are not bullish on Venezuela's debt. The market may have overreacted positively to Chavez’s death and transition risks remain. It's more short-term issues that are keeping us away."


What Every Retirement Advisor Needs to Know in 2013(5:40)
Patrick Lulley
V.P. DCIO and Insurance

posted on March 15, 2013

"2012 brought greater focus and transparency on retirement plan costs....This has led to an opportunity for retirement advisors."


Indonesia: Continuing Its Record of Strong Economic Growth(8:11)
Neena Mishra
Director of ETF Research, Zacks Investment Research

posted on February 21, 2013

"Indonesia’s economy has grown at an annual rate exceeding 5% in seven of the past eight years, mainly due to increasing consumption by the rising middle class."


Vietnam: Transition to a Leading Low-Cost Manufacturer(6:32)
Neena Mishra
Director of ETF Research, Zacks Investment Research

posted on February 21, 2013

"Vietnam continues to be the main beneficiary of the migration of low-end manufacturing out of China as the producers try to take advantage of wages that are about half of that in China."


Counterpoint: Top EM Plays for 2013(05:54)
Eric Fine & Fran Rodilosso
Portfolio Managers

posted on February 1, 2013

"The top four emerging markets I like right now are the local markets of Nigeria, Mexico, Russia and Indonesia."


Counterpoint: EM Currency Opportunities in 2013(3:28)
Eric Fine & Fran Rodilosso
Portfolio Managers

posted on February 1, 2013

"We really like local currency in EM debt right now...It's where the rubber meets the road."


Counterpoint: EM Fixed-Income Bubble?(3:33)
Eric Fine & Fran Rodilosso
Portfolio Managers

posted on February 1, 2013

"I think using the word "bubble" right now... is not thinking about the situation in the right way."


Counterpoint: EM Bonds as an Asset Class(3:45)
Eric Fine & Fran Rodilosso
Portfolio Managers

posted on February 1, 2013

"...emerging markets fits pretty interestingly right now in terms of its fundamentals."


Emerging Markets Bond: Hard versus Local Currency 1Q'12(3:52)
Eric Fine
Portfolio Manager
Van Eck Emerging Markets Bond Investment Team


posted on January 24, 2013

"The most basic difference is that in local currency the risk of actual default is not the primary concern."


Emerging Markets Bond: Key Themes for 2013(3:44)
Eric Fine
Portfolio Manager
Van Eck Emerging Markets Bond Investment Team


posted on January 24, 2013

"The push away from developed economy currencies is a big macro theme for 2013."


Muni Health Check - 4Q'12(6:38)
Jim Colby
Portfolio Manager,
Market Vectors® Municipal Bond ETFs


posted on January 10, 2013

"The outlook for states and municipalities in 2013 is improving. There are many reasons to be optimistic about the recovery and the health of communities around the country."


TheStreet.com Interviews Colby on Munis(3:04)
Jim Colby
Portfolio Manager,
Market Vectors® Municipal Bond ETFs


posted on November 5, 2012

"I think this year, 2012, will be another positive year of returns for munis..."


Opportunities and Headwinds: EM High Yield 4Q'12(4:30)
Fran Rodilosso
Portfolio Manager,
Market Vectors Income ETFs


posted on October 22, 2012

"People who are not traditionally buyers of emerging markets or high-yield debt have moved out the risk curve…and are not doing it on excessive leverage."


Why Alternatives Investors Should Target Minimum Allocations (6:28)
David Schassler
Director of Manager Research, Multi-Manager Alternatives Investment Team

posted on October 25, 2012




The Research Behind MOAT ETF(16:42)
Stipp & Larson
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posted on May 1, 2012

Morningstar's Chief Equity Strategist discusses the five sources of economic moat.


CMCAX: Understanding Contango, Backwardation, Roll Yield(02:08)
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posted on August 1, 2011

Understand key investment concepts that impact Van Eck CM Commodity Index Fund (CMCAX)


CMCAX: The Constant Maturity Concept(01:58)
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Video & Transcript Archive (35) Collapse -

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